Fire Weather Outlook Discussion

Day 2 - Storm Prediction Center Norman, Oklahoma

FNUS22 KWNS 210502
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1101 PM CST Wed Feb 20 2019

Valid 221200Z - 231200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR THE TEXAS BIG BEND REGION...

...Synopsis...
A strong shortwave trough and an associated strengthening surface
cyclone will move from the four corners region into the southern
High Plains on Friday. The combination of deep mixing and lee
troughing will lead to strengthening surface winds by mid-afternoon.
Winds are expected to be 20 to 25 mph across a broad area of the
southern High Plains, however, the drier low-level airmass will be
focused farther south. The RAP suggests relative humidities may be
drier in eastern New Mexico which would result in critical
conditions north of the current critical delineation. Other forecast
guidance still suggests more moist low-levels farther north,
therefore, the critical area remains in Texas for now, but this
trend will need to be monitored.

..Bentley.. 02/21/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$